‘The number of cases’ is back. As was already the case in the 2018 Jakarta-Palembang Games, the loss to Taiwan does not mean Korea’s failure to win the gold medal. There is a good chance that they will meet Taiwan again in the finals.

Korea lost 0-4 in the baseball Group B group match of the ‘2022 Hangzhou Asian Games’ held at the first baseball stadium of Shaoxing Baseball-Softball Center in Shaoxing, Zhejiang, China on the 2nd. The dishonorable record of losing 3 consecutive games against Taiwan in professional international competitions and not scoring in 23 consecutive innings remains an ongoing issue. Still, there is another opportunity to break two chains in this competition.메이저사이트

Korea has a game left against Thailand on the 3rd. If you win here, you can advance to the Super Rounds with 2 wins and 1 loss. As an extreme assumption, even if you lose here, it is possible to advance to the super round. Unless Hong Kong defeats Taiwan and gets two wins.

▶ If Japan wins and China wins,

the group record will continue in the super round. Korea faces Japan and China in Group A with one loss. From here, we must consider the number of cases under the assumption that Korea wins both Super Round games and that China loses both.

Now, the result of the match between Taiwan and Japan is important. If Taiwan captures Japan, the situation will be easily resolved. Taiwan advances to the gold medal match with three wins. Japan wins once against China and loses twice against Korea and Taiwan, so it goes down to the bronze medal match.

If Taiwan loses to Japan, they will have to fight against numbers. If Korea, Taiwan, and Japan all have 2 wins and 1 loss, the rankings will be determined based on TQB (Team’s Quality Balance). The TQB formula, which we have become familiar with through the WBC (World Baseball Classic), is (runs scored/offensive innings) – (runs conceded/defensive innings). It is a similar concept to soccer’s goal difference, but in baseball, offense and defense opportunities can be different, so calculation is necessary.

The problem is that Korea lost to Taiwan by 4 points. If Japan catches Chinese Taipei, the two additional runs allowed in the 8th inning will be a fatal blow. We need to make a difference in the game against Japan to make up for this ‘no score and 4 goals conceded’.
At present, TQB is -0.5 for Korea and +0.5 for Taiwan.

▶ If we lose to Japan and win against China,

we will have 1 win and 2 losses if we lose to Japan in the super round. At this time, Japan, which has secured at least two wins (Korea and China), will advance to the gold medal match.

Even if Taiwan defeats China, it can secure 2 wins and 1 loss and compete with Japan for the gold medal. If Taiwan loses to Japan and China, it will be 1 win (Korea) and 2 losses (China and Japan). Japan confirmed first place in the Super Round with 3 wins, while Korea, Taiwan, and China lost 1 win and 2 losses, and the ranking is determined by calculating TQB.

▶ If we lose to Japan and then lose to China

Korea already has the experience of advancing to the gold medal match and winning despite losing to Taiwan in the group stage. At the 2018 Jakarta-Palembang Games, they lost 1-2 to Taiwan in the first game, but won the gold medal match against Japan and won the championship for the third time in a row. At that time, Taiwan lost to Japan, and thanks to TQB, Korea was able to play in the final game. However, at the time, they were able to be in an advantageous position in TQB calculations as they lost to Taiwan by 1-2, 1 point.

Coach Ryu Joong-il said, “I think we will have another opportunity if we go to the Super Round by beating Japan and China.”